Data & method
Transparent signals beat black boxes.
AgAu.ai separates live market data, daily macro inputs, weekly positioning data and slower official-sector updates so visitors know why some drivers move every minute and others move monthly or quarterly.
Signal framework
Macro first. Physical demand promoted. Charts last.
The order is deliberate. Price action matters, but AgAu is designed to explain the forces behind the move rather than chase the chart.
| Driver | Freshness | Purpose | Current approach |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gold and silver spot | LIVE / Daily | Price context | Live XAU/USD and XAG/USD spot quotes where available, with clearly labelled analytical market-data fallbacks elsewhere. |
| Real yields | DAILY | Opportunity cost of holding metals | Public macro data / rate proxy. |
| Fed Intelligence | 15-MIN / Official | Next meeting, policy record, cut/hold/hike probabilities and precious-metals transmission | Federal Reserve calendar and official feeds; free Polymarket and Kalshi market-data APIs; New York Fed Survey of Market Expectations data; official FOMC Summary of Economic Projections via Federal Reserve/FRED. Investing.com economic/FX RSS may add secondary reported-discussion context but never changes official policy data or probabilities. |
| US Economic News | 5–15 MIN / Official | Primary-source US economic releases and policy communications | Federal Reserve, BLS, BEA, Treasury, Census and Department of Labor feeds/APIs with per-source last-good caching. Investing.com economic, indicators, FX and commodities RSS is shown only as secondary market coverage; it never replaces the official Actual/Previous figures. Official free sources normally do not include economists’ consensus. |
| US dollar pressure | DAILY | Currency tailwind or headwind | Dollar proxy in the engine and live ticker context. |
| ETF flows | DAILY / Weekly | Western investor appetite | Public ETF commentary and upgrade-ready data layer. |
| COMEX positioning | WEEKLY | Crowding, short-covering potential and speculative pressure | CFTC COT scoring in the engine. |
| Central-bank demand | MONTHLY / Quarterly | Structural official-sector demand | Manual/public proxy until licensed source improves automation. |
| Physical demand | WEEKLY / Proxy | Premiums, coin/bar demand and tightness | Strategic proxy, upgrade-ready for premium feeds. |
| Miners | HOURLY / Live | Equity confirmation of bullion strength | GDX/GDXJ/SIL/SILJ market and news layer. GlobeNewswire specialist mining/earnings feeds are the primary announcement wire; Investing.com company/earnings/press-release/commodities RSS is used as secondary discovery and corroboration, with duplicate material events consolidated. |
| Institutional forecasts | 09:30 + 19:00 / Verified | Major-bank gold and silver targets | RC21 runs Radar and full verification together twice daily. A board update requires an explicit institution, metal, numerical value/range and horizon. Tier 1 primary/LBMA evidence or explicit Tier 2 Reuters-attributed research may update the board; Investing.com and other discovery sources remain radar-only until corroborated. Superseded calls are archived rather than overwritten. |
| Chart momentum | DAILY | Confirmation, not the thesis | Moving-average and RSI-style scoring inside the engine. |
Why this matters
Slow-moving data is not stale if it is labelled correctly.
COMEX positioning is weekly. Central-bank demand is slower. Physical premiums can be fragmented. A good metals platform should show this clearly rather than pretending every input is live.
Upgrade path
As AgAu grows, higher-quality feeds can improve source depth without changing the public logic: macro, flows, positioning, physical demand, miners and momentum remain the framework.